Tipster Picks

Welcome to Tipster Picks!

We all need a bit of help sometimes, and our tipping trio are always on hand to share their wisdom in our games. They are:

  • The MailmanBetter service than De Bruyne
  • The TeacherGiving lessons on a weekly
  • Incognito ProThe best spy since Bielsa

Will you follow their advice, or go your own way?

Ahead of the Football Survivor and Big5 2023/24 season opener this August 12, the tipsters have been mining the data once again:

The Mailman says…

  • My pick: I expect Jurgen Klopp’s team to score some more ‘worldies’ on Wednesday night against a Sheffield Utd side that conceded 5 goals against Burnley last time round to put them bottom of the league. Liverpool have scored an impressive 32 goals so far and will be looking to add to their season’s tally.
  • Potential pick: Although Aston Villa drew with the Cherries at the weekend, it was away from home and they are still unbeaten at Villa Park. Villa have the best home goal difference (+18) in the league and will fancy their chances against a City side that have now drawn their last three league games.
  • Risky pick: Spurs proved their doubters wrong by ending their losing streak, and impressively picking up a point against City in their dramatic 3- 3 draw on Sunday. However, West Ham have hit some recent form picking up 7 points in their last three games, and could close the gap between them and their London rivals to only 3 points with a win at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium!

The Teacher says…

  • My pick:With a league-high 39 goals conceded and a league-low 11 goals scored, things aren’t looking good for Sheffield United. There’s talk of management change but whoever is in charge faces some task in stopping a Liverpool side on a title charge. Even when conceding three at home, they still win and while they’ve not been so good away, they should still be more than good enough to win this.
  • Potential pick: Chelsea have won three of six away and look to have a good chance of improving that record at Old Trafford. United continue to struggle, outplayed by Newcastle at the weekend. Of particular concern is their expected goals against (xGA) figure of 25.17. That’s way bigger than the number of goals actually conceded (17) – only Luton have a bigger such gap. Chelsea have the fourth-best expected goals (xG) tally which suggests they’ll create plenty here.
  • Risky pick: Villa have now won 13 in a row in the Premier League at Villa Park. Yes, City are arguably a better side than any faced in that run but the fact is they are on their worst winless league run in six years following three successive draws. Only City themselves have more goals than free-scoring Villa and this could well be closer than the odds suggest.

Incognito Pro says…

  • My pick: Liverpool are the stand-out favourites in the mid-week’s fixtures, facing a rock-bottom Sheffield United side who were hammered 5 nil at the weekend by Burnley. Liverpool have scored more goals in their last 5 games (12) than the Blades have all season (11)!
  • Potential pick: West Ham are undefeated in 5 games in all competitions and could be a potential pick for the mid-week fixtures. Spurs’ long list of injuries continues and although they got a point against City at the weekend, their last win was back in October against Palace!
  • Risky pick: Although Manchester United sit 3 places above Chelsea and will have the home advantage, they looked poor against Newcastle in their 1-nil loss and could have conceded more. Chelsea on the other hand have bagged an impressive 12 goals in their last 4 games and will be looking to punish this struggling United side at Old Trafford.

Good luck!

Football Picks